Two AFC foes face off tonight in Indianapolis, as and the visit Jeff Saturday and the . While the Steelers lost to the last week, they scored a season-high 30 points. The Colts are also coming off of a lo s to the , but they've covered the spread in both of the two games Saturday has coached.This is the first game that the Saturday-led Colts have been favored in. Is Vegas correct in its a sumption, or is Mike Tomlin's team ready to put together a strong second half of the season? Below, we will break down this Monday night matchup from a David Njoku Jersey gambling perspective, and examine the line movement, Over/Under and player props to consider. First, here's how you can watch the game.Date:Monday, Nov. 28 |Time:8:15 p.m. ETLocation:Lucas Oil Stadium (Indianapolis)TV:ESPN|Stream: (try for free) Follow: Odds: Colts -2.5, O/U 39.5 Featured Game | Indianapolis Colts vs. Pittsburgh Steelers Moneyline Spread Total IND PIT This line reopened at IND -3 on Tuesday, Nov. 15. It fell to IND -2.5 last Sunday, and was briefly listed at IND -3 on Monday before Phillip Gaines Jersey falling back down to IND -2.5. The pick: Steelers +2.5. I think the wrong team is favored in this matchup. The Colts are 1-4 ATS as favorites this season, and have won just one of the five games they have been favored in. Containing is going to be important in this matchup, but Pittsburgh has the sixth-best run defense in the , allowing an average of 103.4 rushing yards per game. A reason was benched earlier in the year was because he struggled to move around in the pocket and avoid pre sure. Having chasing him is going to be fun to watch.Offensively, the Steelers aren't some must-watch unit, but the pieces are there. had two touchdowns last week, and caught four pa ses for 83 yards and a touchdown. Pickett threw for 265 yards and a touchdown while registering an 85.9 quarterback rating. He's clearly learning with each start, and is primed to earn his first career road victory. The Steelers have won the past seven meetings against the Colts. Give me Pittsburgh with the upset.The total reopened at 39.5 on Tuesday, Nov. 15. This past Monday, it fell to 39, but bumped back up to 39.5 this weekend. The pick: Over 39.5.The Under has been a cash cow for the Colts, as they are 9-2 to the Under this season. The Steelers also hit the Under more often than not at a 6-4 clip. Anytime a total is under 40, it basically becomes a stay-away for me. On one hand Eric Murray Jersey I like to root for points, but on the other, the Nick Chubb Jersey statistics say to go ahead and take the Under. I'm going to take the Over for fun, but this is just a lean. PIT QB #8 CMP%65.4YDs1426TD3INT8YD/Att6.02 Pa sing touchdowns:1.5 (Over +196, Under -284)Pa sing yards:212.5 (Over -117, Under -117)Pa sing attempts:OFFPa sing completions:OFFLongest pa sing completion:32.5 (Over -129, Under -106)Interceptions:0.5 (Over -119, Under -115)I'm going to hold my breath and take the Over on Pickett's pa sing touchdowns. He's never thrown two in a game before and only has three touchdown pa ses in seven games played. Still, that +196 juice is attractive. I'll take the Over on pa sing yards, and I'll probably take Pickett to throw an interception as well. IND QB #2 CMP%69.2YDs2443TD10INT9YD/Att6.84 Pa sing touchdowns:1.5 (Over +112, Under -154)Pa sing yards:232.5 (Over -117, Under -117)Pa sing attempts:OFFPa sing completions:OFFLongest pa sing completion:36.5 (Over -117, Under -117)Interceptions:0.5 (Over -127, Under -108 Duke Johnson Jersey )I won't bet Ryan's touchdown number, and my lean is to the Over on pa sing yards. Ryan is averaging 271.4 pa sing yards per game this season, but he hasn't hit this 233 number since returning to the starting lineup in Week 10. I'll take the veteran to throw an interception as well.George Pickens receptions: Over 3.5 (-151).I don't exactly believe the juice is warranted here, but I'm still going to play it. Pickens caught four of six targets for 83 yards and a touchdown last week. He is a talented player the Steelers will rely on. Najee Harris anytime touchdown (+107).At plus money, why not?